When applying fundamental analysis to trading forex, it is advisable to look at several countries, because the strong political and/or economic connections maintained between two or more countries will be reflected in their currency value fluctuations.
Other useful tips when embarking upon fundamental analysis as you trade forex include:
- Economic calendar: pay attention to the where and when. Due to the fact that the value of a currency responds quickly to the release of certain economic information, it is imperative to keep a close watch on currency price trends whenever new information is publicised.
- Economic indicators: know what economic indicators are capturing the market’s attention. These indicators serve as catalysts for the largest price and volume movements. For example, when the British pound sterling is weakened, one of the most watched indicators becomes inflation.
- Market expectations: do not just watch the data; know what market expectations develop from it and then watch closely to see whether or not those expectations are met. This serves as a better indicator of trends than just watching the data itself. From time to time, there is a major gap between what is expected and what actually occurs; therefore you need to remain aware of the possibilities.
Fundamental analysis is highly effective in helping to predict overall market behaviour and determining a country’s economic health trends, but where fundamental analysis falls short is in the short-term. This type of analysis is simply not capable of accounting for short-term fluctuations. It is important to use other techniques in conjunction with fundamental analysis and so this is where the technical analysis comes in.